If Rohit Sharma’s team beats Zimbabwe, they will advance to the semifinals as group-toppers. Even a washout will see them through. But if they lose on Sunday, they will need the Netherlands to beat South Africa, or Bangladesh to defeat Pakistan, but by not too big a margin.
Pakistan
Beating Bangladesh may not be enough in itself for Babar Azam’s team. They will need either Zimbabwe to beat India, or the Netherlands upsetting the Proteas, or at least sharing points with Temba Bavuma’s side.
South Africa
A win over the Dutch will see South Africa through. However, anything less than two points will see them crash out as the winners of the Pakistan-Bangladesh game will have three wins to the Proteas’ two.
Bangladesh and Zimbabwe
Both teams still have a theoretical chance of advancing, but given their abysmal net run rate, that’s an unlikely scenario. Bangladesh need to beat Pakistan and hope South Africa drop points against the Dutch. Zimbabwe need to beat India, hope the Pakistan-Bangladesh game is washed out, and the Proteas lose to the Dutch. Even then, their low net run rate may go against them.